Market Cycle Brief — June 13, 2026: BTC 39/100, Ethereum Down 3
The four-year cycle is in an extended phase at day 1300 of a 1450-day length, while the yearly cycle shows an extended phase at day 431 of 170. The weekly cycle sits in a mid phase at day 7 of 24. Telemetry registers a Bitcoin score of 38.6, with altcoins showing lower readings.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 39/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-06-13
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1300/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 431/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 7/24 | mid |
Bitcoin telemetry shows a score of 38.6, matching the previous reading of 38.6 with a delta of 0. The model displays a score of 39 and marks the asset in an extended phase. The four-year cycle progression places the asset at day 1300 of an expected 1450-day length.
Movers
- Ethereum: 38.6 → 35.6 (Δ -3.0) — Ethereum telemetry registers a delta of -3, moving the score from 38.6 to 35.6.
- XRP: 38.6 → 35.6 (Δ -3.0) — XRP telemetry registers a delta of -3, moving the score from 38.6 to 35.6.
- Solana: 38.6 → 35.6 (Δ -3.0) — Solana telemetry registers a delta of -3, moving the score from 38.6 to 35.6.
News context
- Ethena Labs to allocate $250 million to Securitize’s Tokenized AAA CLO Fund as it deploys on Solana — theblock · positive
- Monero price rockets 33% to $438 amid $120 million onchain laundering maze — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin hit bottom at $59,000 marking end to the crypto winter, says Standard Chartered analyst — coindesk · positive
- Exodus, Ondo launch tokenized markets with 200-plus stocks and ETFs on Solana — theblock · positive
- US spot Bitcoin ETFs set to hit $2 trillion cumulative trading volume milestone amid mounting outflows — theblock · positive
Recent headlines highlight institutional allocations to tokenized funds on Solana and the launch of new tokenized stock markets. Analyst commentary suggests a market bottom for Bitcoin, while exchange-traded funds approach a cumulative volume milestone despite recent outflows.
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.6 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 35.6 | -3.0 | — | |
| XRP | 35.6 | -3.0 | — | |
| Solana | 35.6 | -3.0 | — | |
| Sui | 35.6 | -3.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 43.5 | 0.0 | mid | 2026-06-12 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 56.9 | -0.2 | early | 2026-06-12 |
| Dow Jones | 34.4 | -0.1 | late | 2026-06-12 |
| Russell 2000 | 33.1 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-06-12 |
| DAX 40 | 26.2 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-12 |
| Nikkei 225 | 28.6 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-06-12 |
| FTSE 100 | 23.6 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-12 |
| NVIDIA | 42.1 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-12 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-12 |
| Gold | 48 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-12 |
| Silver | 42 | 0.0 | — | 2026-06-12 |
| Platinum | 58 | 0.0 | — | 2026-06-12 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-12 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.