Market Cycle Brief — June 18, 2026: BTC 38/100, Russell 2000 Up 15.4
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 38/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 38/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-06-18
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1305/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 436/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 12/24 | mid |
Bitcoin is on day 1305/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 436/170) and the weekly cycle is mid (day 12/24).
Movers
- Russell 2000: 41.1 → 56.5 (Δ +15.4)
- NASDAQ Composite: 47.9 → 47.6 (Δ -0.3)
- DAX 40: 31.2 → 31 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Mexican billionaire with 70% of his investment portfolio in bitcoin says it's better than real estate — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin layer-2s face a bear-market reality check — coindesk · negative
- SpaceX's $2.6 trillion market cap nearly double that of bitcoin — coindesk · negative
- Live markets: A bitcoin bottom signal flashed as holders absorbed 125,000 BTC in June — coindesk · positive
- XRP gives back breakout gains, slipping below $1.23 on heavy selling — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.5 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 38.5 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 38.5 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 38.5 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 38.5 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 48.6 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-17 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 47.6 | -0.3 | mid | 2026-06-17 |
| Dow Jones | 25.3 | -0.1 | late | 2026-06-17 |
| Russell 2000 | 56.5 | +15.4 | early | 2026-06-17 |
| DAX 40 | 31 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-06-17 |
| Nikkei 225 | 27.5 | -0.2 | mid | |
| FTSE 100 | 22.8 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-17 |
| NVIDIA | 47.1 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-17 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-17 |
| Gold | 48 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-17 |
| Silver | 42 | 0.0 | — | 2026-06-17 |
| Platinum | 58 | 0.0 | — | 2026-06-17 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-17 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.