Market Cycle Brief — July 3, 2026: BTC 33/100, DAX 40 Up 5.4
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 33/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 33/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-07-03
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1320/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 451/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 27/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1320/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 451/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 27/24).
Movers
- DAX 40: 23.3 → 28.7 (Δ +5.4)
- NASDAQ Composite: 44.6 → 44.4 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 48.7 → 48.5 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Securitize tokenizes $295 million of its own stock on Solana and Avalanche amid NYSE debut — coindesk · positive
- Smaller tokens lead as bitcoin, sol rally in 'first real bounce of the selloff' — coindesk · positive
- Live updates: Bitcoin holds above $61,000 as momentum stocks plunge to start quarter — coindesk · positive
- Ondo Finance debuts SEC-aligned tokenized stock model with BlackRock ETF, Micron shares — coindesk · positive
- A struggling Nasdaq-listed company that tried to copy Saylor's Bitcoin playbook is completely dumping crypto for AI — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 32.7 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 29.7 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 29.7 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 29.7 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 29.7 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 47.1 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-02 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 44.4 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-02 |
| Dow Jones | 32 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-02 |
| Russell 2000 | 48.5 | -0.2 | early | 2026-07-02 |
| DAX 40 | 28.7 | +5.4 | mid | 2026-07-02 |
| Nikkei 225 | 24.8 | -0.2 | mid | |
| FTSE 100 | 20.5 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-02 |
| NVIDIA | 45.2 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-02 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-02 |
| Gold | 48 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-02 |
| Silver | 48 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-02 |
| Platinum | 58 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-02 |
| US Dollar Index | 38.1 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-02 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.