Market Cycle Brief — July 7, 2026: BTC 38/100, DAX 40 Up 7
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 38/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 38/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-07-07
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1324/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 455/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 7/24 | mid |
Bitcoin is on day 1324/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 455/170) and the weekly cycle is mid (day 7/24).
Movers
- DAX 40: 28.6 → 35.6 (Δ +7.0)
- NASDAQ Composite: 44.4 → 38 (Δ -6.4)
- NVIDIA: 45.2 → 39.1 (Δ -6.1)
News context
- Keel jumps 10% after former bitcoin miner hires data center veteran as president — theblock · positive
- U.S. inflation outlook underpins bitcoin bulls after best week since March — coindesk · positive
- Grayscale says Strategy’s recent bitcoin sales should restore confidence in its financing structure — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin's Sharpe Ratio slides to lowest since 2022. Here's what it means. — coindesk · positive
- Vitalik Buterin says Ethereum is preparing its 'biggest rebuild' since the Merge — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.2 | -0.1 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 33.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 33.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 33.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 33.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 41.2 | -5.9 | mid | 2026-07-06 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 38 | -6.4 | mid | 2026-07-06 |
| Dow Jones | 31.7 | -0.3 | extended | 2026-07-06 |
| Russell 2000 | 47.9 | -0.6 | early | 2026-07-06 |
| DAX 40 | 35.6 | +7.0 | mid | 2026-07-06 |
| Nikkei 225 | 24.1 | -0.1 | mid | |
| FTSE 100 | 27.4 | -0.5 | mid | 2026-07-06 |
| NVIDIA | 39.1 | -6.1 | mid | 2026-07-06 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-06 |
| Gold | 48 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-06 |
| Silver | 48 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-06 |
| Platinum | 58 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-06 |
| US Dollar Index | 38.1 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-06 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.