Market Cycle Brief — July 13, 2026: BTC 24/100, Bitcoin Down 8.8
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 24/100, down 8.8 from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 24/100, down 8.8 from the prior reading — model date 2026-07-13
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1330/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 461/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 13/24 | late |
Bitcoin is on day 1330/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 461/170) and the weekly cycle is late (day 13/24).
Movers
- Bitcoin: 32.6 → 23.8 (Δ -8.8)
- Ethereum: 27.6 → 18.8 (Δ -8.8)
- XRP: 27.6 → 18.8 (Δ -8.8)
News context
- Bitcoin whale moves $188 million in BTC after seven-year dormancy: onchain data — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin is nearing a power law support line Fidelity has tracked since 2015 — coindesk · positive
- Michael Saylor posts cryptic Strategy chart after $216 million bitcoin sale: ‘Orange dots tell only part of the story’ — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin’s BIP 110 fork deadline nears with miner support at zero — coindesk · negative
- Strategy's Saylor needs clarity in BTC pivot message to convince investors: StanChart — cointelegraph · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 23.8 | -8.8 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 18.8 | -8.8 | — | |
| XRP | 18.8 | -8.8 | — | |
| Solana | 18.8 | -8.8 | — | |
| Sui | 18.8 | -8.8 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 40.8 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-10 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 28.3 | -0.3 | mid | 2026-07-10 |
| Dow Jones | 31.4 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-07-10 |
| Russell 2000 | 47.2 | -0.2 | early | 2026-07-10 |
| DAX 40 | 35 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-10 |
| Nikkei 225 | 28.6 | +5.1 | mid | |
| FTSE 100 | 26.8 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-10 |
| NVIDIA | 38.5 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-10 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-10 |
| Gold | 48 | -2.0 | extended | 2026-07-12 |
| Silver | 48 | -2.0 | — | 2026-07-12 |
| Platinum | 58 | -2.0 | — | 2026-07-12 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | -5.6 | extended | 2026-07-12 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.