Market Cycle Brief — July 18, 2026: BTC 24/100, Nikkei 225 Down 8.9
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 24/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 24/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-07-18
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1335/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 466/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 18/24 | late |
Bitcoin is on day 1335/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 466/170) and the weekly cycle is late (day 18/24).
Movers
- Nikkei 225: 26 → 17.1 (Δ -8.9)
- Gold: 47 → 45 (Δ -2.0)
- Silver: 47 → 45 (Δ -2.0)
News context
- Senator Warren requests 2026 reporting for Trump’s crypto earnings after $1.4B disclosure — cointelegraph · positive
- Cardano hands core development to outside teams in decentralization push — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin ETFs could mirror gold’s history of ‘spectacular gains’ and ‘painful drawdowns,’ analyst says — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin faces fresh headwinds as China’s Kimi beats Claude, GPT in coding benchmark — coindesk · negative
- Ether falls twice as hard as bitcoin and HYPE drops 10% as the chip trade unwinds — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 40.1 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-17 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 26.8 | -0.3 | mid | 2026-07-17 |
| Dow Jones | 31 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-07-17 |
| Russell 2000 | 51.7 | -0.2 | early | 2026-07-17 |
| DAX 40 | 28.3 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-17 |
| Nikkei 225 | 17.1 | -8.9 | late | 2026-07-17 |
| FTSE 100 | 25.7 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-17 |
| NVIDIA | 37.7 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-17 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-17 |
| Gold | 45 | -2.0 | extended | 2026-07-17 |
| Silver | 45 | -2.0 | — | 2026-07-17 |
| Platinum | 55 | -2.0 | — | 2026-07-17 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-17 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.