Market Cycle Brief — July 21, 2026: BTC 24/100, Nikkei 225 Up 8
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 24/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 24/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-07-21
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1338/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 469/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 21/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1338/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 469/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 21/24).
Movers
- Nikkei 225: 17.1 → 25.1 (Δ +8.0)
- NASDAQ Composite: 26.8 → 24.2 (Δ -2.6)
- Russell 2000: 51.7 → 51.3 (Δ -0.4)
News context
- Grayscale could take Worldcoin to Wall Street after ETF filing with the SEC — theblock · positive
- Bitmine expands Ethereum treasury to 5.78 million ETH, repurchases 5.5 million shares — theblock · positive
- Cardano activates van Rossem hard fork — cointelegraph · positive
- Trump’s crypto ethics stance leaves Clarity Act negotiations in limbo — theblock · negative
- Cardano Triggers Hard Fork With First Community-Voted Upgrade — decrypt · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 23.7 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 18.7 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 18.7 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 18.7 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 18.7 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 39.8 | -0.3 | mid | 2026-07-20 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 24.2 | -2.6 | mid | 2026-07-20 |
| Dow Jones | 30.8 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-07-20 |
| Russell 2000 | 51.3 | -0.4 | early | 2026-07-20 |
| DAX 40 | 27.9 | -0.4 | mid | 2026-07-20 |
| Nikkei 225 | 25.1 | +8.0 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 25.3 | -0.4 | mid | 2026-07-20 |
| NVIDIA | 37.3 | -0.4 | mid | 2026-07-20 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-20 |
| Gold | 45 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-20 |
| Silver | 45 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-20 |
| Platinum | 55 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-20 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-20 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.