Market Cycle Brief — July 28, 2026: BTC 23/100, DAX 40 Up 5.1
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 23/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 23/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-07-28
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1345/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 28/170 | early |
| Weekly | 28/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1345/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its early phase (day 28/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 28/24).
Movers
- DAX 40: 27.3 → 32.4 (Δ +5.1)
- NASDAQ Composite: 23.3 → 22.7 (Δ -0.6)
- Russell 2000: 32.5 → 32 (Δ -0.5)
News context
- Lido begins consolidating $16 billion worth of staked ETH as Curated Module v2 rolls out — theblock · positive
- Live updates: Ether leads crypto higher. China's gold imports surge — coindesk · positive
- Strategy extends bitcoin pause to five weeks, sells $544.5 million in MSTR as USD reserve hits $3.75 billion — theblock · negative
- Bitcoin shrugs off AI selloff but high-stakes Fed meeting could determine what's next — coindesk · positive
- Bitmine keeps buying Ether as ETH outperforms Bitcoin — cointelegraph · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 23.4 | -0.1 | early | |
| Ethereum | 16.4 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 16.4 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 16.4 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 16.4 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 44.8 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-27 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 22.7 | -0.6 | mid | 2026-07-27 |
| Dow Jones | 39.1 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-07-27 |
| Russell 2000 | 32 | -0.5 | mid | 2026-07-27 |
| DAX 40 | 32.4 | +5.1 | mid | 2026-07-27 |
| Nikkei 225 | 23.8 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 15.4 | -0.5 | mid | 2026-07-27 |
| NVIDIA | 36.4 | -0.4 | mid | 2026-07-27 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-27 |
| Gold | 47 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-27 |
| Silver | 47 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-27 |
| Platinum | 57 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-27 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-27 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.