Market Cycle Brief — August 18, 2026: BTC 30/100, Gold Down 15.8
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 30/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 30/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-18
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1366/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 49/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 17/24 | late |
Bitcoin is on day 1366/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 49/170) and the weekly cycle is late (day 17/24).
Movers
- Gold: 67.3 → 51.5 (Δ -15.8)
- Silver: 67.3 → 51.5 (Δ -15.8)
- Platinum: 77.3 → 61.5 (Δ -15.8)
News context
- Tokenized equities triple market share as Ondo, Binance and xStocks dominate — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin hits $64K as gold gains while oil shakes off Trump Oman threat — cointelegraph · negative
- Bitmine adds 9,926 ETH, taking total holdings to roughly $11 billion — theblock · positive
- Bitmine nears 5% of Ethereum supply despite $8.4B in unrealized losses — cointelegraph · negative
- Ethereum’s next big upgrade has 66 proposals, including a major privacy fix — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 29.6 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 24.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 24.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 24.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 24.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 38.7 | -0.3 | late | 2026-08-17 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 57 | -0.7 | mid | 2026-08-17 |
| Dow Jones | 37.7 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-08-17 |
| Russell 2000 | 22.4 | -0.5 | mid | 2026-08-17 |
| DAX 40 | 22.5 | -0.4 | late | 2026-08-17 |
| Nikkei 225 | 11.3 | -0.1 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 31.9 | -0.4 | late | 2026-08-17 |
| NVIDIA | 35.3 | -0.4 | late | 2026-08-17 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-17 |
| Gold | 51.5 | -15.8 | early | 2026-08-17 |
| Silver | 51.5 | -15.8 | — | 2026-08-17 |
| Platinum | 61.5 | -15.8 | — | 2026-08-17 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-17 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.