Market Cycle Brief — August 25, 2026: BTC 29/100, Gold Down 10.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 29/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 29/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-25
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1373/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 56/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 24/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1373/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 56/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 24/24).
Movers
- Gold: 66.6 → 56.4 (Δ -10.2)
- Silver: 66.6 → 56.4 (Δ -10.2)
- Platinum: 76.6 → 66.4 (Δ -10.2)
News context
- Bitcoin hits $80,000 for the first time since May as crypto recovery accelerates — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin's Next Test Is $80,000 as Jackson Hole Meeting Looms — decrypt · positive
- Bitcoin records largest weekly dollar gain in history; Strive CEO predicts ‘strongest’ cycle ever — theblock · positive
- Why the Bitcoin Rally Looks Like a Vote Against the Dollar — decrypt · positive
- Strive acquires 1,110 bitcoin for $81.5 million as total holdings reach 21,356 BTC — theblock · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 29.2 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 19.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 19.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 19.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 19.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 29.2 | -9.1 | late | 2026-08-24 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 49.9 | -6.3 | mid | 2026-08-24 |
| Dow Jones | 37.2 | -0.3 | extended | 2026-08-24 |
| Russell 2000 | 12.3 | -9.3 | mid | 2026-08-24 |
| DAX 40 | 21.4 | -0.5 | late | 2026-08-24 |
| Nikkei 225 | 10 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 39.5 | -0.5 | late | 2026-08-24 |
| NVIDIA | 28.8 | -6.0 | late | 2026-08-24 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-24 |
| Gold | 56.4 | -10.2 | early | 2026-08-24 |
| Silver | 56.4 | -10.2 | — | 2026-08-24 |
| Platinum | 66.4 | -10.2 | — | 2026-08-24 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-24 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.