Market Cycle Brief — August 29, 2026: BTC 39/100, Bitcoin Up 9.8
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 39/100, up 9.8 from the prior reading. 6 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 39/100, up 9.8 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-29
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 60/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 60/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 28/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 60/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 60/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 28/24).
Movers
- Bitcoin: 29 → 38.8 (Δ +9.8)
- Ethereum: 19 → 28.8 (Δ +9.8)
- XRP: 19 → 28.8 (Δ +9.8)
News context
- Bitwise fund is first Solana ETF to hit $1 billion AUM — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin is outperforming stocks and correlating with gold just when it matters most — coindesk · positive
- Capital B raises $24.5M for its Bitcoin treasury amid market uncertainty with BlockStream’s Adam Back chipping in — cointelegraph · positive
- Bybit launches 24/7 options on stock perpetuals, starting with SpaceX and Nvidia — theblock · positive
- Solana’s faster disinflation plan leads vote as $800K burn proposal trails — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.8 | +9.8 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 28.8 | +9.8 | — | |
| XRP | 28.8 | +9.8 | — | |
| Solana | 28.8 | +9.8 | — | |
| Sui | 28.8 | +9.8 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 28.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 64.8 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-28 |
| Dow Jones | 28.2 | -8.9 | extended | 2026-08-28 |
| Russell 2000 | 11.5 | -8.9 | mid | 2026-08-28 |
| DAX 40 | 37 | +7.3 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| Nikkei 225 | 18.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| FTSE 100 | 38.9 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| NVIDIA | 44.1 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-28 |
| Gold | 56 | -0.1 | early | 2026-08-28 |
| Silver | 56 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-28 |
| Platinum | 66 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-28 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-28 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.