Market Cycle Brief — September 6, 2026: BTC 54/100, Russell 2000 Up 8.5
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 54/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 54/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-06
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 68/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 68/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 36/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 68/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 68/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 36/24).
Movers
- Russell 2000: 10.4 → 18.9 (Δ +8.5)
- NASDAQ Composite: 47.8 → 47.5 (Δ -0.3)
- Nikkei 225: 8.4 → 8.2 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- British investor thought he lost $2,000 in bitcoin in 2012. He just recovered $4.5 million — coindesk · positive
- Why crypto experts say buying and holding bitcoin easily beats trying to time the market — coindesk · positive
- UBS, Jane Street among firms with combined $75 million in Hyperliquid ETF holdings: Bloomberg — theblock · positive
- XRP Ledger has fewer active accounts than last year, but bigger trades and more value — coindesk · positive
- Ancient Bitcoin Wallet That Turned $120 Into $3 Million Wakes Up — decrypt · neutral
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 54 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 44 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 44 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 44 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 44 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 28.2 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-04 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 47.5 | -0.3 | late | 2026-09-04 |
| Dow Jones | 27.8 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-09-04 |
| Russell 2000 | 18.9 | +8.5 | mid | 2026-09-04 |
| DAX 40 | 36 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-04 |
| Nikkei 225 | 8.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-04 |
| FTSE 100 | 29.1 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-04 |
| NVIDIA | 18.7 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-04 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-04 |
| Gold | 66.5 | -0.1 | early | 2026-09-04 |
| Silver | 66.5 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-04 |
| Platinum | 76.5 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-04 |
| US Dollar Index | 38.1 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-04 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.