Market Cycle Brief — September 15, 2026: BTC 43/100, US Dollar Index Down 15.7
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 43/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 43/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-15
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 77/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 77/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 45/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 77/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 77/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 45/24).
Movers
- US Dollar Index: 48.2 → 32.5 (Δ -15.7)
- NASDAQ Composite: 31.3 → 30.7 (Δ -0.6)
- Russell 2000: 17.6 → 17 (Δ -0.6)
News context
- Strive reaches 25,000 BTC milestone with latest $36.6 million purchase — theblock · positive
- Trump's $800 million stake into World Liberty Financial's token now has a timeline to becoming sellable — coindesk · positive
- DeFi Development Corp expands Solana treasury to 2.39 million SOL, sets up $300 million CHAD ATM — theblock · positive
- Bitmine adds 27,180 ETH as adviser Tom DeMark sees sharp move in coming weeks — theblock · positive
- Live updates: Bitcoin climbs near $79,000 as stocks narrow declines — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 43.3 | 0.0 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 33.3 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 33.3 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 33.3 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 33.3 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 27.2 | -0.3 | late | 2026-09-14 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 30.7 | -0.6 | late | 2026-09-14 |
| Dow Jones | 27.1 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-09-14 |
| Russell 2000 | 17 | -0.6 | mid | 2026-09-14 |
| DAX 40 | 34.4 | -0.5 | late | 2026-09-14 |
| Nikkei 225 | 19.8 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 27.6 | -0.4 | late | 2026-09-14 |
| NVIDIA | 17.4 | -0.4 | late | 2026-09-14 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-14 |
| Gold | 54.4 | -0.1 | early | 2026-09-14 |
| Silver | 54.4 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-14 |
| Platinum | 64.4 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-14 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | -15.7 | extended | 2026-09-14 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.