Market Cycle Brief — September 24, 2026: BTC 41/100, Russell 2000 Up 17.1
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 41/100, down 4.1 from the prior reading. 6 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 41/100, down 4.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-24
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 86/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 86/170 | late |
| Weekly | 54/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 86/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 86/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 54/24).
Movers
- Russell 2000: 15.5 → 32.6 (Δ +17.1)
- Dow Jones: 26.6 → 35.3 (Δ +8.7)
- S&P 500: 26.5 → 35.1 (Δ +8.6)
News context
- ‘BTC still has room to catch up’: Bitcoin’s $80,000 breakout draws institutional demand as analysts weigh durability — theblock · positive
- Galaxy adds $100 million in Sky’s sUSDS to treasury, buys SKY token as firms deepen lending ties — theblock · positive
- Zcash leads crypto majors with a 10% gain as bitcoin holds near $87,000 — coindesk · positive
- Zcash's Wall Street Moment Reaches Europe With Its First ETP Listing — decrypt · positive
- Bitcoin's $16 billion quarterly options settlement arrives with a 'call-heavy' book — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 40.9 | -4.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 35.9 | -4.1 | — | |
| XRP | 35.9 | -4.1 | — | |
| Solana | 35.9 | -4.1 | — | |
| Sui | 35.9 | -4.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 35.1 | +8.6 | late | 2026-09-23 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 43.1 | +5.4 | late | 2026-09-23 |
| Dow Jones | 35.3 | +8.7 | extended | 2026-09-23 |
| Russell 2000 | 32.6 | +17.1 | late | 2026-09-23 |
| DAX 40 | 33.1 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-23 |
| Nikkei 225 | 26.9 | +7.7 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 35 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-23 |
| NVIDIA | 25 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-23 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-23 |
| Gold | 45.3 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-09-23 |
| Silver | 45.3 | -0.2 | — | 2026-09-23 |
| Platinum | 55.3 | +4.8 | — | 2026-09-23 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-23 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.