Market Cycle Brief — September 28, 2026: BTC 41/100, Gold Down 5.9
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 41/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 41/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-28
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 90/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 90/170 | late |
| Weekly | 58/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 90/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 90/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 58/24).
Movers
- Gold: 45.1 → 39.2 (Δ -5.9)
- Silver: 45.1 → 39.2 (Δ -5.9)
- Platinum: 50.1 → 44.2 (Δ -5.9)
News context
- Vitalik Buterin maps Ethereum’s shift beyond a blockchain in sweeping 2030 vision — coindesk · positive
- THORChain under fire over Bitget, ETH evolves beyond blockchain: Hodler’s Digest — cointelegraph · negative
- ‘It’s really not just a blockchain anymore’: Vitalik Buterin maps Ethereum’s path to 2030 — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin's Quantum Problem: Three Ways Researchers Are Trying to Fix It — decrypt · neutral
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 40.6 | -0.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 37.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 37.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 37.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 37.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 35 | 0.0 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 42.6 | -0.3 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| Dow Jones | 26.4 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-09-25 |
| Russell 2000 | 32.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| DAX 40 | 32.8 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| Nikkei 225 | 26.2 | -0.5 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 25.9 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| NVIDIA | 16 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-25 |
| Gold | 39.2 | -5.9 | mid | 2026-09-27 |
| Silver | 39.2 | -5.9 | — | 2026-09-27 |
| Platinum | 44.2 | -5.9 | — | 2026-09-27 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-25 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.