Market Cycle Brief — October 8, 2026: BTC 46/100, Dow Jones Up 8.7
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 46/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 46/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-08
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 100/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 100/170 | late |
| Weekly | 68/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 100/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 100/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 68/24).
Movers
- Dow Jones: 25.7 → 34.4 (Δ +8.7)
- NASDAQ Composite: 42.2 → 42 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 38.8 → 38.6 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Robinhood adds $25 million worth of bitcoin to balance sheet as it deepens crypto push — theblock · positive
- Grayscale says crypto ETF market is entering new phase as Zcash ETF tops $1 billion — theblock · positive
- Gate bets all-in-one money app is crypto’s biggest consumer trend this year and next — coindesk · positive
- ‘Every single exchange’ will have to adopt public blockchain infrastructure to compete, Hyperliquid Policy Center CEO says — theblock · positive
- Pudgy Penguins’ Abstract becomes second Ethereum layer 2 to shut in a week — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 45.6 | -0.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 40.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 40.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 40.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 40.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 38.3 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-07 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 42 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-07 |
| Dow Jones | 34.4 | +8.7 | extended | 2026-10-07 |
| Russell 2000 | 38.6 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-07 |
| DAX 40 | 60.1 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-07 |
| Nikkei 225 | 29.9 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 54 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-07 |
| NVIDIA | 29.6 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-07 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-07 |
| Gold | 44.6 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-10-07 |
| Silver | 44.6 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-07 |
| Platinum | 54.6 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-07 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-07 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.