Market Cycle Brief — October 21, 2026: BTC 55/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 0.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 55/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 55/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-21
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 113/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 113/170 | late |
| Weekly | 81/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 113/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 113/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 81/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 32.6 → 32.4 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 42 → 41.8 (Δ -0.2)
- Nikkei 225: 22.2 → 22 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Swiss regulator FINMA approves country’s first spot bitcoin ETF for retail investors — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin yield platform HoneyB developer raises $5 million at $30 million valuation — theblock · positive
- JPMorgan sees 10% annual bitcoin returns, topping stocks, bonds and gold over next decade — coindesk · positive
- BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF draws $665 million inflow, highest since October 2025 — theblock · positive
- Wallet Linked to Drift Exploit Sends $61 Million in Ethereum to Tornado Cash — decrypt · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 54.9 | -0.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 47.9 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 47.9 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 47.9 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 47.9 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 37.1 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-20 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 32.4 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-20 |
| Dow Jones | 33.5 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-20 |
| Russell 2000 | 41.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-20 |
| DAX 40 | 58.2 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-20 |
| Nikkei 225 | 22 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 46.5 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-20 |
| NVIDIA | 37.1 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-20 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-20 |
| Gold | 43.9 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-10-20 |
| Silver | 43.9 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-20 |
| Platinum | 53.9 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-20 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-20 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.