Market Cycle Brief — October 23, 2026: BTC 45/100, Bitcoin Down 10.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 45/100, down 10.2 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 45/100, down 10.2 from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-23
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 115/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 115/170 | late |
| Weekly | 83/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 115/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 115/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 83/24).
Movers
- Bitcoin: 54.8 → 44.6 (Δ -10.2)
- Ethereum: 47.8 → 37.6 (Δ -10.2)
- XRP: 47.8 → 37.6 (Δ -10.2)
News context
- Starknet community overwhelmingly backs research into becoming an independent post-quantum Layer 1 — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin ETFs draw $528 million as ether funds snap five-day outflow streak — theblock · positive
- China seeks to seize 61,800 BTC tied to $5.7 billion fraud scheme — coindesk · negative
- Asian stocks tumble, bitcoin retreats as China enters bear market — coindesk · negative
- Solana’s biggest network change since 2020 is live. Here’s how users benefit — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 44.6 | -10.2 | late | |
| Ethereum | 37.6 | -10.2 | — | |
| XRP | 37.6 | -10.2 | — | |
| Solana | 37.6 | -10.2 | — | |
| Sui | 37.6 | -10.2 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 36.9 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-22 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 32 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-22 |
| Dow Jones | 33.4 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-22 |
| Russell 2000 | 41.4 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-22 |
| DAX 40 | 52.2 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-22 |
| Nikkei 225 | 21.6 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 46.1 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-22 |
| NVIDIA | 36.9 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-22 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-22 |
| Gold | 43.7 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-10-22 |
| Silver | 43.7 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-22 |
| Platinum | 53.7 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-22 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-22 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.