Market Cycle Brief — June 26, 2026: BTC 33/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 0.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 33/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 33/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-06-26
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1313/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 444/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 20/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1313/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 444/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 20/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 40.5 → 40.3 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 49.8 → 49.6 (Δ -0.2)
- Nikkei 225: 17.5 → 17.3 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Quant fund says bitcoin is near a major inflection point as rare onchain signals align — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin rout leads Strategy’s STRC to slide 26% below par as MSTR shares hits 16-month low — theblock · negative
- Multicoin predicts HYPE hits $319 by 2028 as Hyperliquid turns into an ‘everything exchange’ — theblock · positive
- Kraken in talks to buy 15% stake in DeFi lender Aave at $385 million valuation — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin likely to fall another 30% to $44,000 by year-end, prominent BTC miner says — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 32.8 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 32.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 32.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 32.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 32.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 42.2 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-25 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 40.3 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-06-25 |
| Dow Jones | 32.4 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-06-25 |
| Russell 2000 | 49.6 | -0.2 | early | 2026-06-25 |
| DAX 40 | 24.2 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-25 |
| Nikkei 225 | 17.3 | -0.2 | mid | |
| FTSE 100 | 21.6 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-25 |
| NVIDIA | 46 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-06-25 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-25 |
| Gold | 48 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-25 |
| Silver | 48 | 0.0 | — | 2026-06-25 |
| Platinum | 58 | 0.0 | — | 2026-06-25 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-25 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.