Market Cycle Brief — June 29, 2026: BTC 33/100, Nikkei 225 Down 0.5
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 33/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 33/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-06-29
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1316/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 447/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 23/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1316/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 447/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 23/24).
Movers
- Nikkei 225: 17.3 → 16.8 (Δ -0.5)
- NASDAQ Composite: 40.3 → 40.1 (Δ -0.2)
- DAX 40: 24.2 → 24 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Samson Mow says bitcoin bottom is in despite skepticism from analysts — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin falls below $60,000, on track for a rare back-to-back quarterly loss — coindesk · negative
- Will Bitcoin price recover in July? — cointelegraph · negative
- Michael Saylor teases more bitcoin buying even as Strategy stock continues to fall — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin UXTOs signal capitulation underway: Analyst — cointelegraph · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 32.8 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 32.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 32.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 32.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 32.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 42.1 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-26 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 40.1 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-06-26 |
| Dow Jones | 32.4 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-26 |
| Russell 2000 | 49.5 | -0.1 | early | 2026-06-26 |
| DAX 40 | 24 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-06-26 |
| Nikkei 225 | 16.8 | -0.5 | mid | |
| FTSE 100 | 21.4 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-06-26 |
| NVIDIA | 45.9 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-06-26 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-26 |
| Gold | 48 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-28 |
| Silver | 48 | 0.0 | — | 2026-06-28 |
| Platinum | 58 | 0.0 | — | 2026-06-28 |
| US Dollar Index | 38.1 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-06-28 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.