Market Cycle Brief — July 8, 2026: BTC 38/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 0.3
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 38/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 38/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-07-08
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1325/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 456/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 8/24 | mid |
Bitcoin is on day 1325/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 456/170) and the weekly cycle is mid (day 8/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 38 → 37.7 (Δ -0.3)
- Russell 2000: 47.9 → 47.7 (Δ -0.2)
- Nikkei 225: 24.1 → 23.9 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Live markets: Bitcoin climbs near $64,000 as AI favorites plunge on Tuesday — coindesk · positive
- Jack Mallers’ Strike launches ‘volatility-proof’ bitcoin loans built to protect against liquidation — theblock · positive
- ZEC jumps 12% as Zcash nears mathematical proof against hidden counterfeit bugs — theblock · positive
- New Hampshire lawmakers to hold hearing on $100M Bitcoin bonds — cointelegraph · positive
- Bitcoin Covenants part 3: SIGHASH_ANYPREVOUT — cointelegraph · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.2 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 33.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 33.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 33.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 33.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 41.1 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-07 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 37.7 | -0.3 | mid | 2026-07-07 |
| Dow Jones | 31.6 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-07-07 |
| Russell 2000 | 47.7 | -0.2 | early | 2026-07-07 |
| DAX 40 | 35.5 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-07 |
| Nikkei 225 | 23.9 | -0.2 | mid | |
| FTSE 100 | 27.2 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-07 |
| NVIDIA | 38.9 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-07 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-07 |
| Gold | 48 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-07 |
| Silver | 48 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-07 |
| Platinum | 58 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-07 |
| US Dollar Index | 38.1 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-07 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.