Market Cycle Brief — July 14, 2026: BTC 24/100, DAX 40 Down 6.1
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 24/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 24/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-07-14
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1331/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 462/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 14/24 | late |
Bitcoin is on day 1331/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 462/170) and the weekly cycle is late (day 14/24).
Movers
- DAX 40: 35 → 28.9 (Δ -6.1)
- Nikkei 225: 28.6 → 22.8 (Δ -5.8)
- Russell 2000: 47.2 → 52.4 (Δ +5.2)
News context
- Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 markets surge to nearly 50% of perp volume as onchain stock trading grows — theblock · positive
- Tom Lee says users ‘starting to see Ethereum as money’ as Bitmine adds 27,801 ETH — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin panic-selling may be ending as sellers' profit margins disappear — coindesk · positive
- Strategy Pads Cash Reserves to $3 Billion, Skipping Bitcoin Buy for Third Week — decrypt · negative
- UK Treasury report on tokenization cites Ripple as convergence model — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 40.5 | -0.3 | mid | 2026-07-13 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 27.7 | -0.6 | mid | 2026-07-13 |
| Dow Jones | 31.2 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-07-13 |
| Russell 2000 | 52.4 | +5.2 | early | 2026-07-13 |
| DAX 40 | 28.9 | -6.1 | mid | 2026-07-13 |
| Nikkei 225 | 22.8 | -5.8 | mid | |
| FTSE 100 | 26.3 | -0.5 | mid | 2026-07-13 |
| NVIDIA | 38.2 | -0.3 | mid | 2026-07-13 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-13 |
| Gold | 48 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-13 |
| Silver | 48 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-13 |
| Platinum | 58 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-13 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-13 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.