Market Cycle Brief — July 15, 2026: BTC 24/100, Nikkei 225 Up 3.4
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 24/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 24/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-07-15
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1332/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 463/170 | extended |
| Weekly | 15/24 | late |
Bitcoin is on day 1332/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its extended phase (day 463/170) and the weekly cycle is late (day 15/24).
Movers
- Nikkei 225: 22.8 → 26.2 (Δ +3.4)
- Gold: 48 → 47 (Δ -1.0)
- Silver: 48 → 47 (Δ -1.0)
News context
- Galaxy blends Aave, Morpho and other DeFi rates in new GOFR crypto borrowing product — theblock · positive
- U.S. government moves $288 million in seized bitcoin, ether to Coinbase Prime — coindesk · positive
- ‘Soft print, hard regime’: Bitcoin climbs toward $64,000 as June CPI falls 0.4% in largest monthly drop since 2020 — theblock · positive
- Ethereum Foundation spinout EthSystems targets banks with blockchain privacy technology — coindesk · positive
- Dragonfly, FirstMark lead $38 million Series A for stablecoin startup Velocity with support from Coinbase, Ripple and more — theblock · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | |
| Ethereum | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 18.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 40.4 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-14 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 27.5 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-14 |
| Dow Jones | 31.2 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-14 |
| Russell 2000 | 52.2 | -0.2 | early | 2026-07-14 |
| DAX 40 | 28.8 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-14 |
| Nikkei 225 | 26.2 | +3.4 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 26.2 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-14 |
| NVIDIA | 38 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-14 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-14 |
| Gold | 47 | -1.0 | extended | 2026-07-14 |
| Silver | 47 | -1.0 | — | 2026-07-14 |
| Platinum | 57 | -1.0 | — | 2026-07-14 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-14 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.