Market Cycle Brief — August 1, 2026: BTC 23/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 0.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 23/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 23/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-01
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1349/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 32/170 | early |
| Weekly | 32/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1349/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its early phase (day 32/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 32/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 30.8 → 30.6 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 31.4 → 31.2 (Δ -0.2)
- Nikkei 225: 23.5 → 23.3 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Bitcoin losses linked to Coldcard vulnerability grow to $70 million, Galaxy Research says — theblock · negative
- Bitcoin holds monthly gain, faces 'choppy' August as 'forced-selling' exhausted, analysts say — coindesk · positive
- Tether Reports $1.5B Q2 Profit as USDT Supply Grows, Gold Holdings Rise — decrypt · positive
- US Treasury Sanctions Iranian Firms Taking Bitcoin for Hormuz Passage — decrypt · negative
- XDC AI and the Rise of Agentic Finance: When AI Agents Learn to Pay — decrypt · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 23.2 | 0.0 | early | |
| Ethereum | 16.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 16.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 16.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 16.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 44.4 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-31 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 30.6 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-31 |
| Dow Jones | 38.8 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-07-31 |
| Russell 2000 | 31.2 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-07-31 |
| DAX 40 | 31.8 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-31 |
| Nikkei 225 | 23.3 | -0.2 | late | 2026-07-31 |
| FTSE 100 | 34.4 | -0.2 | late | 2026-07-31 |
| NVIDIA | 41.5 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-07-31 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-31 |
| Gold | 52 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-31 |
| Silver | 52 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-31 |
| Platinum | 62 | 0.0 | — | 2026-07-31 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-07-31 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.