Market Cycle Brief — August 5, 2026: BTC 47/100, Nikkei 225 Up 15.5
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 47/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 47/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-05
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1353/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 36/170 | early |
| Weekly | 36/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1353/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its early phase (day 36/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 36/24).
Movers
- Nikkei 225: 22.6 → 38.1 (Δ +15.5)
- NASDAQ Composite: 45.7 → 35.3 (Δ -10.4)
- NVIDIA: 41.1 → 31.4 (Δ -9.7)
News context
- Bitcoin’s $63,000 zone emerges as key battleground for buyers: Glassnode — coindesk · positive
- Dinari launches tokenized S&P 500 stocks for US self-custody wallets using USDC — theblock · positive
- DCG’s Fortitude acquires 12.5 MW Nebraska facility for net $4.7 million, expanding Zcash mining portfolio — theblock · positive
- BitGo’s WBTC move pushes LayerZero-to-Chainlink tally near $15 billion — coindesk · positive
- Wells Fargo joins JPMorgan and Citi in the race to tokenize Wall Street’s settlement rails — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 47.4 | -0.1 | early | |
| Ethereum | 40.4 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 40.4 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 40.4 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 40.4 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 39.9 | -4.2 | late | 2026-08-04 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 35.3 | -10.4 | mid | 2026-08-04 |
| Dow Jones | 38.6 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-04 |
| Russell 2000 | 30.4 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-04 |
| DAX 40 | 33.2 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-04 |
| Nikkei 225 | 38.1 | +15.5 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 33.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-04 |
| NVIDIA | 31.4 | -9.7 | late | 2026-08-04 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-04 |
| Gold | 52 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-04 |
| Silver | 52 | 0.0 | — | 2026-08-04 |
| Platinum | 57 | -5.0 | — | 2026-08-04 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-04 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.