Market Cycle Brief — August 6, 2026: BTC 47/100, Nikkei 225 Down 15.9
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 47/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 3 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 47/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-06
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1354/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 37/170 | early |
| Weekly | 37/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1354/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its early phase (day 37/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 37/24).
Movers
- Nikkei 225: 38.1 → 22.2 (Δ -15.9)
- NVIDIA: 31.4 → 47 (Δ +15.6)
- DAX 40: 33.2 → 24.3 (Δ -8.9)
News context
- NFT founder accused of using millions from investor funds to finance DJ hobby, gambling — theblock · negative
- Former LAPD officer gets life sentence for kidnapping teen in $350,000 bitcoin robbery: report — theblock · negative
- AI credit bubble could fuel Bitcoin ‘crack-up boom’ past $1M: Hayes — cointelegraph · positive
- Missouri trio charged over alleged Bitcoin kidnapping plot — cointelegraph · negative
- TeraWulf’s HPC leasing revenue jumps 52%, widening lead over bitcoin mining — theblock · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 47.4 | 0.0 | early | |
| Ethereum | 40.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 40.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 40.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 40.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 39.8 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-05 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 35.1 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-05 |
| Dow Jones | 38.5 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-08-05 |
| Russell 2000 | 30.2 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-05 |
| DAX 40 | 24.3 | -8.9 | late | 2026-08-05 |
| Nikkei 225 | 22.2 | -15.9 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 33.7 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-05 |
| NVIDIA | 47 | +15.6 | late | 2026-08-05 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-05 |
| Gold | 52 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-05 |
| Silver | 52 | 0.0 | — | 2026-08-05 |
| Platinum | 62 | +5.0 | — | 2026-08-05 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | +8.7 | extended | 2026-08-05 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.