Market Cycle Brief — August 7, 2026: BTC 37/100, Bitcoin Down 10.3
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 37/100, down 10.3 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 37/100, down 10.3 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-07
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1355/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 38/170 | early |
| Weekly | 38/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1355/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its early phase (day 38/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 38/24).
Movers
- Bitcoin: 47.4 → 37.1 (Δ -10.3)
- Ethereum: 40.4 → 32.1 (Δ -8.3)
- XRP: 40.4 → 32.1 (Δ -8.3)
News context
- Bitcoin, ether benefit as traders seek safety of largest tokens — coindesk · positive
- NFT startup founder charged with misusing funds from $10 million fundraising — coindesk · negative
- Sui to add post-quantum signature schemes for quantum-safe accounts — theblock · positive
- Power struggle erupts at Ondo Finance after founder’s death — coindesk · negative
- Crypto bill ethics provision could let Trump defer millions in taxes: Bloomberg — theblock · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 37.1 | -10.3 | early | |
| Ethereum | 32.1 | -8.3 | — | |
| XRP | 32.1 | -8.3 | — | |
| Solana | 32.1 | -8.3 | — | |
| Sui | 32.1 | -8.3 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 39.7 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-06 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 34.9 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-06 |
| Dow Jones | 38.4 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-08-06 |
| Russell 2000 | 30.1 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-08-06 |
| DAX 40 | 24.1 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-06 |
| Nikkei 225 | 22 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 33.5 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-06 |
| NVIDIA | 46.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-06 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-06 |
| Gold | 50 | -2.0 | extended | 2026-08-06 |
| Silver | 50 | -2.0 | — | 2026-08-06 |
| Platinum | 60 | -2.0 | — | 2026-08-06 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-06 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.