Market Cycle Brief — August 8, 2026: BTC 37/100, US Dollar Index Down 8.7
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 37/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 3 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 37/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-08
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1356/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 39/170 | early |
| Weekly | 7/24 | mid |
Bitcoin is on day 1356/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its early phase (day 39/170) and the weekly cycle is mid (day 7/24).
Movers
- US Dollar Index: 32.5 → 23.8 (Δ -8.7)
- Ethereum: 32.1 → 30.1 (Δ -2.0)
- XRP: 32.1 → 30.1 (Δ -2.0)
News context
- Bitcoin tops $65,000 after ‘massive surprise’ US jobs miss — theblock · positive
- Coldcard bitcoin exploit exposes crypto’s ‘original sin’ of private keys, Blockaid CEO says — theblock · negative
- Live updates: 'This can't last forever': Mulling bitcoin's lame price action as risk markets rally — coindesk · positive
- Trump Media and Crypto.com end partnerships as companies shift priorities — theblock · negative
- Trump-Backed American Bitcoin director Justin Mateen buys nearly $2 million of ABTC stock — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 37.1 | 0.0 | early | |
| Ethereum | 30.1 | -2.0 | — | |
| XRP | 30.1 | -2.0 | — | |
| Solana | 30.1 | -2.0 | — | |
| Sui | 30.1 | -2.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 39.6 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-07 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 34.7 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-07 |
| Dow Jones | 38.4 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-07 |
| Russell 2000 | 29.9 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-07 |
| DAX 40 | 24 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-07 |
| Nikkei 225 | 22 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-07 |
| FTSE 100 | 33.4 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-07 |
| NVIDIA | 46.7 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-07 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-07 |
| Gold | 52 | +2.0 | extended | 2026-08-07 |
| Silver | 52 | +2.0 | — | 2026-08-07 |
| Platinum | 62 | +2.0 | — | 2026-08-07 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | -8.7 | extended | 2026-08-07 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.