Market Cycle Brief — August 10, 2026: BTC 37/100, Gold Up 19
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 37/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 3 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 37/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-10
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1358/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 41/170 | early |
| Weekly | 9/24 | mid |
Bitcoin is on day 1358/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its early phase (day 41/170) and the weekly cycle is mid (day 9/24).
Movers
- Gold: 52 → 71 (Δ +19.0)
- Silver: 52 → 71 (Δ +19.0)
- Platinum: 62 → 81 (Δ +19.0)
News context
- Bitcoin 'Anti-Spam' Fork Sputters to a Halt After Mining Just Two Blocks — decrypt · negative
- Bitcoin investors pour $853 million into spot ETFs. BlackRock’s IBIT claims the bulk — coindesk · positive
- Crypto is going through a massive dot-com style shakeout as over 100 projects fold in 2026 — coindesk · negative
- BIP-110 Bitcoin branch stalls after two blocks as gap widens — cointelegraph · positive
- Controversial Bitcoin fork BIP-110 mines two blocks, then stops — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 37 | 0.0 | early | |
| Ethereum | 32 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 32 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 32 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 32 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 39.6 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-07 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 34.7 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-07 |
| Dow Jones | 38.4 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-07 |
| Russell 2000 | 29.9 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-07 |
| DAX 40 | 24 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-07 |
| Nikkei 225 | 21.5 | -0.5 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 33.4 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-07 |
| NVIDIA | 46.7 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-07 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-07 |
| Gold | 71 | +19.0 | early | 2026-08-09 |
| Silver | 71 | +19.0 | — | 2026-08-09 |
| Platinum | 81 | +19.0 | — | 2026-08-09 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-09 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.