Market Cycle Brief — August 11, 2026: BTC 37/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 6.3
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 37/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 37/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-11
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1359/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 42/170 | early |
| Weekly | 10/24 | mid |
Bitcoin is on day 1359/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its early phase (day 42/170) and the weekly cycle is mid (day 10/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 34.7 → 28.4 (Δ -6.3)
- Russell 2000: 29.9 → 29.3 (Δ -0.6)
- DAX 40: 24 → 23.5 (Δ -0.5)
News context
- Adam Back-backed H100 more than triples bitcoin holdings to 3,506 BTC in acquisition deal — theblock · positive
- ‘Owning the rails’: Standard Chartered sees LINK at $200 by 2030 as Chainlink underpins tokenized-asset boom — theblock · positive
- ‘Owning the rails’: Standard Chartered sees LINK at $200 by 2030 as Chainlink underpins tokenized-asset boom — theblock · positive
- Adam Back-backed H100 more than triples bitcoin holdings to 3,506 BTC in acquisition deal — theblock · positive
- Solana lending giant Jupiter now lets the same dollar earn twice — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 36.9 | -0.1 | early | |
| Ethereum | 31.9 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 31.9 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 31.9 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 31.9 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 39.3 | -0.3 | late | 2026-08-10 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 28.4 | -6.3 | mid | 2026-08-10 |
| Dow Jones | 38.2 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-08-10 |
| Russell 2000 | 29.3 | -0.6 | mid | 2026-08-10 |
| DAX 40 | 23.5 | -0.5 | late | 2026-08-10 |
| Nikkei 225 | 21.5 | -0.5 | late | 2026-08-10 |
| FTSE 100 | 32.9 | -0.5 | late | 2026-08-10 |
| NVIDIA | 46.4 | -0.3 | late | 2026-08-10 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-10 |
| Gold | 70.9 | -0.1 | early | 2026-08-10 |
| Silver | 70.9 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-10 |
| Platinum | 80.9 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-10 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-10 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.