Market Cycle Brief — August 13, 2026: BTC 39/100, Bitcoin Down 5.7
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 39/100, down 5.7 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 39/100, down 5.7 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-13
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1361/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 44/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 12/24 | mid |
Bitcoin is on day 1361/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 44/170) and the weekly cycle is mid (day 12/24).
Movers
- Bitcoin: 44.4 → 38.7 (Δ -5.7)
- Ethereum: 39.4 → 33.7 (Δ -5.7)
- XRP: 39.4 → 33.7 (Δ -5.7)
News context
- Goldman Sachs to gain bitcoin and ETH income ETFs in up to $2.25 billion Neos acquisition — theblock · positive
- Hyperliquid treasury Hyperion triples quarterly profits as HYPE holdings rise in value — theblock · positive
- Goldman Sachs leaps into bitcoin income ETFs with $2.25 billion NEOS buyout — coindesk · positive
- Ethereum staking climbs to 34% as proposal targets validator rewards and ETH treasury firm yields — theblock · positive
- Smart contract blockchain Solana nearly froze Wednesday, Marinade Finance says — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.7 | -5.7 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 33.7 | -5.7 | — | |
| XRP | 33.7 | -5.7 | — | |
| Solana | 33.7 | -5.7 | — | |
| Sui | 33.7 | -5.7 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 39.1 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-12 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 28 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-12 |
| Dow Jones | 38 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-08-12 |
| Russell 2000 | 23.3 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-12 |
| DAX 40 | 23.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-12 |
| Nikkei 225 | 12.2 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 32.6 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-12 |
| NVIDIA | 36 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-12 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-12 |
| Gold | 65.7 | -5.1 | early | 2026-08-12 |
| Silver | 65.7 | -5.1 | — | 2026-08-12 |
| Platinum | 75.7 | -5.1 | — | 2026-08-12 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-12 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.