Market Cycle Brief — August 14, 2026: BTC 30/100, Bitcoin Down 8.8
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 30/100, down 8.8 from the prior reading. 3 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 30/100, down 8.8 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-14
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1362/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 45/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 13/24 | late |
Bitcoin is on day 1362/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 45/170) and the weekly cycle is late (day 13/24).
Movers
- Bitcoin: 38.7 → 29.9 (Δ -8.8)
- Ethereum: 33.7 → 24.9 (Δ -8.8)
- XRP: 33.7 → 24.9 (Δ -8.8)
News context
- Ethereum Foundation pivots away from Poseidon in post-quantum plan — cointelegraph · positive
- Anthropic's AI Agents Started a Virtual War. The Chat Logs Are Unhinged — decrypt · positive
- Solana Can Be the 'Everything Chain' as Crypto Apps Go Mainstream: 6th Man Ventures Co-Founder — decrypt · negative
- Google ad phishing scam drains $550,000 from Hyperliquid user, security specialist says — theblock · negative
- Robinhood Chain nears $1B TVL as Uniswap drives liquidity: Standard Chartered — cointelegraph · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 29.9 | -8.8 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 24.9 | -8.8 | — | |
| XRP | 24.9 | -8.8 | — | |
| Solana | 24.9 | -8.8 | — | |
| Sui | 24.9 | -8.8 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 39 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-13 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 27.8 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-13 |
| Dow Jones | 38 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-13 |
| Russell 2000 | 23.1 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-13 |
| DAX 40 | 23.1 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-13 |
| Nikkei 225 | 12 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 32.5 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-13 |
| NVIDIA | 35.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-13 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-13 |
| Gold | 67.6 | +1.9 | early | 2026-08-13 |
| Silver | 67.6 | +1.9 | — | 2026-08-13 |
| Platinum | 77.6 | +1.9 | — | 2026-08-13 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-13 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.