Market Cycle Brief — August 19, 2026: BTC 30/100, FTSE 100 Up 8.6
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 30/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 30/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-19
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1367/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 50/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 18/24 | late |
Bitcoin is on day 1367/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 50/170) and the weekly cycle is late (day 18/24).
Movers
- FTSE 100: 31.9 → 40.5 (Δ +8.6)
- Gold: 51.5 → 49.4 (Δ -2.1)
- Silver: 51.5 → 49.4 (Δ -2.1)
News context
- Bitcoin correction may be nearing an end with 8 of 12 capitulation signals flashing, VanEck says — theblock · positive
- Metaplanet takes 96% of Super League in 2,100 BTC, cash deal to launch US bitcoin treasury firm — theblock · positive
- Citi plans to launch bitcoin custody for institutional clients later this year — coindesk · positive
- Japan's Metaplanet launching U.S. bitcoin treasury company through $135 million nanocap deal — coindesk · positive
- Ripple CLO says Sept. 15 will be a ‘bellwether’ for Clarity Act market structure bill — theblock · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 29.6 | 0.0 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 24.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 24.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 24.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 24.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 38.6 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-18 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 56.8 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-18 |
| Dow Jones | 37.6 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-08-18 |
| Russell 2000 | 22.2 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-18 |
| DAX 40 | 22.3 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-18 |
| Nikkei 225 | 11.1 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 40.5 | +8.6 | late | 2026-08-18 |
| NVIDIA | 35.2 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-18 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-18 |
| Gold | 49.4 | -2.1 | early | 2026-08-18 |
| Silver | 49.4 | -2.1 | — | 2026-08-18 |
| Platinum | 59.4 | -2.1 | — | 2026-08-18 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-18 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.