Market Cycle Brief — August 22, 2026: BTC 29/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 0.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 29/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 29/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-22
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1370/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 53/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 21/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1370/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 53/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 21/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 56.4 → 56.2 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 21.8 → 21.6 (Δ -0.2)
- Nikkei 225: 10.9 → 10.7 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- XRP leads broad altcoin rally as bitcoin’s biggest weekly gain in two years lifts crypto — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin surge toward $80K points to liquidity-driven momentum shift as ETF flows rebound: Bernstein — theblock · positive
- Live updates: Bitcoin tops $79,500; BTC, ETH record $800 million inflows — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin ETFs Just Had Their Biggest Day Since May—BlackRock Took 83% of It — decrypt · positive
- Bitcoin tops $77,000 as best week since 2023 pulls altcoins along for the ride — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 29.4 | 0.0 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 19.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 19.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 19.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 19.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 38.3 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 56.2 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-21 |
| Dow Jones | 37.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-21 |
| Russell 2000 | 21.6 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-21 |
| DAX 40 | 21.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| Nikkei 225 | 10.7 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| FTSE 100 | 40 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| NVIDIA | 34.8 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-21 |
| Gold | 66.8 | -0.1 | early | 2026-08-21 |
| Silver | 66.8 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-21 |
| Platinum | 76.8 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-21 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-21 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.