Market Cycle Brief — August 23, 2026: BTC 29/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 0.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 29/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 29/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-23
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1371/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 54/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 22/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1371/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 54/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 22/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 56.4 → 56.2 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 21.8 → 21.6 (Δ -0.2)
- Nikkei 225: 10.9 → 10.7 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Zcash hits eight-year high near $850 with futures volume near $10 billion amid Grayscale ETF push — theblock · positive
- AI Has Made Bitcoin Software a Target—This Group Is Fighting Back — decrypt · positive
- Zcash jumps 48% to over $800 as Grayscale spot ETF push adds to ‘next bitcoin’ buzz — coindesk · positive
- How a Treasury buyback tweak helped bitcoin surge 25% to nearly $80,000 in days — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin and ether ETFs draw $2.6 billion in strongest inflow week since October, tripling volume — theblock · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 29.3 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 19.3 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 19.3 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 19.3 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 19.3 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 38.3 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 56.2 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-21 |
| Dow Jones | 37.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-21 |
| Russell 2000 | 21.6 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-21 |
| DAX 40 | 21.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| Nikkei 225 | 10.7 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| FTSE 100 | 40 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| NVIDIA | 34.8 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-21 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-21 |
| Gold | 66.8 | -0.1 | early | 2026-08-21 |
| Silver | 66.8 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-21 |
| Platinum | 76.8 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-21 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-21 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.