Market Cycle Brief — August 26, 2026: BTC 29/100, DAX 40 Up 8.6
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 29/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 2 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 29/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-26
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 1374/1450 | extended |
| Yearly | 57/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 25/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 1374/1450 of its 4-year cycle (extended phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 57/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 25/24).
Movers
- DAX 40: 21.4 → 30 (Δ +8.6)
- Russell 2000: 12.3 → 20.8 (Δ +8.5)
- NASDAQ Composite: 49.9 → 49.7 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- These Researchers Just Shrunk an AI Model and Somehow Made It Smarter — decrypt · negative
- A bitcoin short squeeze for the ages as futures open interest collapses — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin holds above $80,000 backed by ETF flows; bull market case ‘early but optimistic,’ analyst says — theblock · positive
- ZRO token surges as LayerZero unveils ATLAS exchange infrastructure built on Zero blockchain — theblock · positive
- LayerZero unveils trading infrastructure for crypto and tokenized markets, ZRO surges — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 29.1 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 19.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 19.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 19.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 19.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 29.1 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-25 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 49.7 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-25 |
| Dow Jones | 37.2 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-25 |
| Russell 2000 | 20.8 | +8.5 | mid | 2026-08-25 |
| DAX 40 | 30 | +8.6 | late | 2026-08-25 |
| Nikkei 225 | 9.8 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 39.4 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-25 |
| NVIDIA | 28.7 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-25 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-25 |
| Gold | 56.3 | -0.1 | early | 2026-08-25 |
| Silver | 56.3 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-25 |
| Platinum | 66.3 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-25 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-25 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.