Market Cycle Brief — August 30, 2026: BTC 39/100, Dow Jones Down 8.9
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 39/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 39/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-30
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 61/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 61/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 29/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 61/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 61/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 29/24).
Movers
- Dow Jones: 37.1 → 28.2 (Δ -8.9)
- Russell 2000: 20.4 → 11.5 (Δ -8.9)
- DAX 40: 29.7 → 37 (Δ +7.3)
News context
- Bitcoin wallets untouched for 10 years moved $40 million worth of coins — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin's Oldest Coins Are Waking Up in 2026 at a Pace Rarely Seen — decrypt · positive
- Stellar tokenized RWA market more than quadruples to nearly $4B — cointelegraph · positive
- Trump-promoted brand touts GOLD before token collapse — cointelegraph · negative
- Ditching 'digital gold': BPI study suggests everyday Americans prefer control and micro-investing — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.7 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 28.7 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 28.7 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 28.7 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 28.7 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 28.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 64.8 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-28 |
| Dow Jones | 28.2 | -8.9 | extended | 2026-08-28 |
| Russell 2000 | 11.5 | -8.9 | mid | 2026-08-28 |
| DAX 40 | 37 | +7.3 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| Nikkei 225 | 18.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| FTSE 100 | 38.9 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| NVIDIA | 44.1 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-28 |
| Gold | 56 | -0.1 | early | 2026-08-28 |
| Silver | 56 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-28 |
| Platinum | 66 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-28 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-28 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.