Market Cycle Brief — August 31, 2026: BTC 39/100, Nikkei 225 Down 9.3
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 39/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 39/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-08-31
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 62/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 62/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 30/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 62/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 62/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 30/24).
Movers
- Nikkei 225: 18.2 → 8.9 (Δ -9.3)
- Dow Jones: 37.1 → 28.2 (Δ -8.9)
- Russell 2000: 20.4 → 11.5 (Δ -8.9)
News context
- Crypto market makers are cashing in on bitcoin's rally - without betting on direction — coindesk · positive
- Crypto.com-linked Cronos network halts after Tectonic exploit estimated at $75 million — theblock · negative
- Michael Saylor hints at first bitcoin purchase in two months — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin’s new quantum defenses, 18.9M SOL cancelled: Hodler’s Digest — cointelegraph · negative
- Bitcoin ETFs Snap Nine-Day Inflow Streak as Ethereum Funds Extend Their Run — decrypt · neutral
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.6 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 28.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 28.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 28.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 28.6 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 28.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 64.8 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-08-28 |
| Dow Jones | 28.2 | -8.9 | extended | 2026-08-28 |
| Russell 2000 | 11.5 | -8.9 | mid | 2026-08-28 |
| DAX 40 | 37 | +7.3 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| Nikkei 225 | 8.9 | -9.3 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 38.9 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| NVIDIA | 44.1 | -0.1 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-28 |
| Gold | 53.2 | -2.8 | early | 2026-08-30 |
| Silver | 53.2 | -2.8 | — | 2026-08-30 |
| Platinum | 63.2 | -2.8 | — | 2026-08-30 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-30 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.