Market Cycle Brief — September 1, 2026: BTC 39/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 16.4
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 39/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 39/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-01
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 63/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 63/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 31/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 63/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 63/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 31/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 64.8 → 48.4 (Δ -16.4)
- NVIDIA: 44.1 → 27.9 (Δ -16.2)
- Russell 2000: 11.5 → 10.9 (Δ -0.6)
News context
- Strive Adds $143 Million in Bitcoin as Treasury Firms Pile Back In — decrypt · positive
- Strive becomes fifth-largest public bitcoin treasury after 1,800 BTC buy, TD Cowen lifts ASST price target — theblock · positive
- ‘We’re back’: Strategy buys another 4,603 bitcoin for $369.7 million as holdings hit 845,050 BTC — theblock · positive
- Live updates: Bitcoin trades near $78,000; Strategy buys BTC for first time since late June — coindesk · positive
- Strategy returns to bitcoin buys, adding $370 million of BTC last week — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.6 | 0.0 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 28.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 28.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 28.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 28.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 28.6 | -0.3 | late | 2026-08-31 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 48.4 | -16.4 | late | 2026-08-31 |
| Dow Jones | 28.1 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-08-31 |
| Russell 2000 | 10.9 | -0.6 | mid | 2026-08-31 |
| DAX 40 | 36.6 | -0.4 | late | 2026-08-31 |
| Nikkei 225 | 8.7 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 38.9 | -0.2 | late | 2026-08-28 |
| NVIDIA | 27.9 | -16.2 | late | 2026-08-31 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-31 |
| Gold | 53.1 | -0.1 | early | 2026-08-31 |
| Silver | 53.1 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-31 |
| Platinum | 63.1 | -0.1 | — | 2026-08-31 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-08-31 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.