Market Cycle Brief — September 2, 2026: BTC 38/100, FTSE 100 Down 9.3
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 38/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 38/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-02
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 64/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 64/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 32/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 64/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 64/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 32/24).
Movers
- FTSE 100: 38.9 → 29.6 (Δ -9.3)
- NASDAQ Composite: 48.4 → 48.2 (Δ -0.2)
- DAX 40: 36.6 → 36.4 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Robinhood's new crypto network is printing cash, and it's sending Arbitrum's token soaring — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin's Next Move: Bullish Bets Run Up Against a Historical Wall — decrypt · positive
- Bitcoin consolidates near $78,000 as Arbitrum surges 30% on Robinhood Chain revenue — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin steady above $78,000, HYPE leads as majors slip on hawkish Fed bets — coindesk · positive
- Trump Jr's firm leads $1 billion Polymarket raise at $21 billion value: Report — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 38.5 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 28.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 28.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 28.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 28.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 28.5 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-01 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 48.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-01 |
| Dow Jones | 28 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-09-01 |
| Russell 2000 | 10.8 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-09-01 |
| DAX 40 | 36.4 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-01 |
| Nikkei 225 | 8.5 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 29.6 | -9.3 | late | 2026-09-01 |
| NVIDIA | 27.8 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-01 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-01 |
| Gold | 53 | -0.1 | early | 2026-09-01 |
| Silver | 53 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-01 |
| Platinum | 63 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-01 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-01 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.