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Market Cycle Brief — September 3, 2026: BTC 38/100, US Dollar Index Up 5.6

Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 38/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.

Bitcoin

Cycle Score: 38/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-03

CycleDayPhase
4-year65/1450early
Yearly65/170mid
Weekly33/24extended

Bitcoin is on day 65/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 65/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 33/24).

Movers

  • US Dollar Index: 32.5 → 38.1 (Δ +5.6)
  • Gold: 53 → 50.9 (Δ -2.1)
  • Silver: 53 → 50.9 (Δ -2.1)

News context

  • Capital B aims to add 376 BTC to bitcoin treasury following $8.8 million Adam Back investment — coindesk · positive
  • Wyoming expands Chainlink partnership with onchain reserve verification for FRNT — theblock · positive
  • Solana, ether, xrp lead majors slide as Iran strikes drive a broad risk selloff — coindesk · positive
  • Wyoming adds Chainlink reserve verification to state-issued stable token — cointelegraph · positive
  • Hyperscale Data shares hit all-time low as company flips Michigan site from bitcoin mining into AI — theblock · negative

Markets

MarketScoreΔPhaseModel date
Bitcoin38.50.0mid
Ethereum28.50.0—
XRP28.50.0—
Solana28.50.0—
Sui28.50.0—
S&P 50028.4-0.1late2026-09-02
NASDAQ Composite48-0.2late2026-09-02
Dow Jones27.9-0.1extended2026-09-02
Russell 200010.6-0.2mid2026-09-02
DAX 4036.3-0.1late2026-09-02
Nikkei 2258.4-0.1late
FTSE 10029.4-0.2late2026-09-02
NVIDIA27.7-0.1late2026-09-02
JP Morgan Chase500.0extended2026-09-02
Gold50.9-2.1early2026-09-02
Silver50.9-2.1—2026-09-02
Platinum60.9-2.1—2026-09-02
US Dollar Index38.1+5.6extended2026-09-02

Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief

Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.

Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.

Disclaimer: Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.