Market Cycle Brief — September 4, 2026: BTC 54/100, Gold Up 15.7
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 54/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 3 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 54/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-04
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 66/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 66/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 34/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 66/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 66/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 34/24).
Movers
- Gold: 50.9 → 66.6 (Δ +15.7)
- Silver: 50.9 → 66.6 (Δ +15.7)
- Platinum: 60.9 → 76.6 (Δ +15.7)
News context
- Live updates: Bitcoin jumps above $81,000 as rates fall, dollar weakens — coindesk · positive
- Crypto market cap surges to $2.82 trillion as Zcash leads rally alongside stocks — theblock · positive
- Mantle adds Paxos’ USDG stablecoin, joins Global Dollar Network — cointelegraph · positive
- Strive CEO says company could end 2026 as second-largest public bitcoin holder as ASST climbs — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin recovers toward $78,000 as pons and arbitrum extend Robinhood Chain rally — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 54.1 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 44.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 44.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 44.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 44.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 28.3 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-03 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 47.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-03 |
| Dow Jones | 27.9 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-03 |
| Russell 2000 | 10.4 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-09-03 |
| DAX 40 | 36.1 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-03 |
| Nikkei 225 | 8.2 | -0.2 | late | |
| FTSE 100 | 29.3 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-03 |
| NVIDIA | 18.8 | -8.9 | late | 2026-09-03 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-03 |
| Gold | 66.6 | +15.7 | early | 2026-09-03 |
| Silver | 66.6 | +15.7 | — | 2026-09-03 |
| Platinum | 76.6 | +15.7 | — | 2026-09-03 |
| US Dollar Index | 38.1 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-03 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.