Market Cycle Brief — September 16, 2026: BTC 43/100, FTSE 100 Up 8.6
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 43/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 43/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-16
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 78/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 78/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 46/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 78/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 78/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 46/24).
Movers
- FTSE 100: 27.6 → 36.2 (Δ +8.6)
- NASDAQ Composite: 30.7 → 30.4 (Δ -0.3)
- Russell 2000: 17 → 16.8 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- ETH wallet exploit backfires as MEV bot captures $7.7M, Kelp freezes address — cointelegraph · negative
- A hacker turned 25 cents of bitcoin into 46 billion fake BTC tokens on a DeFi bridge — coindesk · negative
- Bitcoin slips to $77,800 as Senate Clarity Act vote nears and oil prices climb — coindesk · negative
- Clarity Act preliminary vote falls short in Senate amid ethics fight over Trump’s crypto wealth — theblock · negative
- Zama expands confidential Morpho lineup after first vault hits $40 million, launches private swaps on Ethereum — theblock · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 43.2 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 33.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 33.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 33.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 33.2 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 27.2 | 0.0 | late | 2026-09-15 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 30.4 | -0.3 | late | 2026-09-15 |
| Dow Jones | 27.1 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-15 |
| Russell 2000 | 16.8 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-09-15 |
| DAX 40 | 34.3 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-15 |
| Nikkei 225 | 19.6 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 36.2 | +8.6 | late | 2026-09-15 |
| NVIDIA | 17.3 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-15 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-15 |
| Gold | 54.3 | -0.1 | early | 2026-09-15 |
| Silver | 54.3 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-15 |
| Platinum | 64.3 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-15 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-15 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.