Market Cycle Brief — September 17, 2026: BTC 43/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 0.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 43/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 43/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-17
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 79/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 79/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 47/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 79/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 79/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 47/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 30.4 → 30.2 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 16.8 → 16.6 (Δ -0.2)
- DAX 40: 34.3 → 34.1 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Revolut hackers demand $3 million in Monero, threaten to sell customer data — coindesk · negative
- XRP sinks 10% as the Clarity Act fails and bitcoin slides toward $76,000 — coindesk · negative
- US lawmakers advance bill to lock Trump’s Bitcoin reserve into law — cointelegraph · negative
- Blockchain finance platform Theo launches tokenized silver backed by $40 million in active leases — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin ETFs shed $450 million as Clarity Act fails — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 43.1 | -0.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 33.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 33.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 33.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 33.1 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 27.1 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-16 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 30.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-16 |
| Dow Jones | 27 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-09-16 |
| Russell 2000 | 16.6 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-09-16 |
| DAX 40 | 34.1 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-16 |
| Nikkei 225 | 19.4 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 36 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-16 |
| NVIDIA | 17.2 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-16 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-16 |
| Gold | 54.2 | -0.1 | early | 2026-09-16 |
| Silver | 54.2 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-16 |
| Platinum | 64.2 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-16 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-16 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.