Market Cycle Brief — September 18, 2026: BTC 43/100, NVIDIA Up 8.6
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 43/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 5 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 43/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-18
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 80/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 80/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 48/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 80/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 80/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 48/24).
Movers
- NVIDIA: 17.2 → 25.8 (Δ +8.6)
- Ethereum: 33.1 → 36.1 (Δ +3.0)
- XRP: 33.1 → 36.1 (Δ +3.0)
News context
- Live updates: Zcash jumps 17% as $345 million of liquidations hit crypto traders — coindesk · positive
- Ethereum’s upcoming Glamsterdam upgrade clears rehearsal for a big jump in capacity — coindesk · positive
- Ripple adds XRP payments to Stripe and Tempo’s AI standard in new developer kit — coindesk · positive
- US sanctions Iran’s BitBank, saying it processes ‘Hormuz Safe’ Bitcoin payments — cointelegraph · positive
- US sanctions Iranian crypto exchange BitBank over alleged bitcoin transfers to IRGC — theblock · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 43.1 | 0.0 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 36.1 | +3.0 | — | |
| XRP | 36.1 | +3.0 | — | |
| Solana | 36.1 | +3.0 | — | |
| Sui | 36.1 | +3.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 27 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-17 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 30 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-17 |
| Dow Jones | 26.9 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-09-17 |
| Russell 2000 | 16.4 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-09-17 |
| DAX 40 | 34 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-17 |
| Nikkei 225 | 19.2 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 35.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-17 |
| NVIDIA | 25.8 | +8.6 | late | 2026-09-17 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-17 |
| Gold | 54.1 | -0.1 | early | 2026-09-17 |
| Silver | 54.1 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-17 |
| Platinum | 64.1 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-17 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-17 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.