Market Cycle Brief — September 19, 2026: BTC 45/100, NASDAQ Composite Up 8.5
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 45/100, up 2.2 from the prior reading. 6 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 45/100, up 2.2 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-19
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 81/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 81/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 49/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 81/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 81/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 49/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 30 → 38.5 (Δ +8.5)
- Gold: 54.1 → 48 (Δ -6.1)
- Silver: 54.1 → 48 (Δ -6.1)
News context
- Live updates: HYPE leads altcoin rally as bitcoin recovers toward $78,000 — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin reclaims $80,000, Solana and Hyperliquid rally as crypto markets shrug off Clarity setback — theblock · positive
- XRP on the brink of a golden cross as focus switches to altcoins — coindesk · positive
- Zcash Is Running—Devs Want to Make It Faster — decrypt · positive
- Bitcoin Blasts Past $80K and a Fresh Short Squeeze Is On — decrypt · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 45.3 | +2.2 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 40.3 | +4.2 | — | |
| XRP | 40.3 | +4.2 | — | |
| Solana | 40.3 | +4.2 | — | |
| Sui | 40.3 | +4.2 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 26.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 38.5 | +8.5 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| Dow Jones | 26.9 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| Russell 2000 | 16.3 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-09-18 |
| DAX 40 | 33.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| Nikkei 225 | 19.2 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| FTSE 100 | 35.7 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| NVIDIA | 25.7 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| Gold | 48 | -6.1 | mid | 2026-09-18 |
| Silver | 48 | -6.1 | — | 2026-09-18 |
| Platinum | 58 | -6.1 | — | 2026-09-18 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.