Market Cycle Brief — September 20, 2026: BTC 43/100, NASDAQ Composite Up 8.5
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 43/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 43/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-20
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 82/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 82/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 50/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 82/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 82/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 50/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 30 → 38.5 (Δ +8.5)
- Gold: 54.1 → 48 (Δ -6.1)
- Silver: 54.1 → 48 (Δ -6.1)
News context
- Bitcoin ETFs eke out positive week with $433 million Friday inflow as ether funds snap four-week inflow streak — theblock · positive
- Robinhood Chain fees collapse 97% even as transactions stay near record highs — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin's Sharpest Rally in Two Years Ran Almost Entirely on Short Liquidations — decrypt · positive
- Ripple says asset managers are preparing for XRP Ledger’s next payments upgrade — coindesk · positive
- Grayscale Is Making Its Red-Hot Zcash ETF More Affordable — decrypt · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 43 | 0.0 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 38 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 38 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 38 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 38 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 26.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 38.5 | +8.5 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| Dow Jones | 26.9 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| Russell 2000 | 16.3 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-09-18 |
| DAX 40 | 33.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| Nikkei 225 | 19.2 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| FTSE 100 | 35.7 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| NVIDIA | 25.7 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| Gold | 48 | -6.1 | mid | 2026-09-18 |
| Silver | 48 | -6.1 | — | 2026-09-18 |
| Platinum | 58 | -6.1 | — | 2026-09-18 |
| US Dollar Index | 32.5 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.