Market Cycle Brief — September 21, 2026: BTC 45/100, US Dollar Index Down 8.7
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 45/100, up 2.1 from the prior reading. 6 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 45/100, up 2.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-21
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 83/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 83/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 51/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 83/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 83/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 51/24).
Movers
- US Dollar Index: 32.5 → 23.8 (Δ -8.7)
- NASDAQ Composite: 30 → 38.5 (Δ +8.5)
- Ethereum: 38 → 42.1 (Δ +4.1)
News context
- Crypto traders braced for a total wipeout this week but Bitcoin had other plans — coindesk · positive
- ZetaChain votes to shut down Layer 1 network and move ZETA to Solana — theblock · negative
- Why Holding Anything But Bitcoin Has Been a Losing Bet for Two Years — decrypt · positive
- Who needs CLARITY anyway? ARB could see 70X increase: Hodler’s Digest — cointelegraph · neutral
- Trump says US will form ‘AI Force’ and appoint AI czar: Reports — cointelegraph · neutral
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 45.1 | +2.1 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 42.1 | +4.1 | — | |
| XRP | 42.1 | +4.1 | — | |
| Solana | 42.1 | +4.1 | — | |
| Sui | 42.1 | +4.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 26.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 38.5 | +8.5 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| Dow Jones | 26.9 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| Russell 2000 | 16.3 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-09-18 |
| DAX 40 | 33.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| Nikkei 225 | 19.2 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| FTSE 100 | 35.7 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| NVIDIA | 25.7 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-18 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| Gold | 47.7 | -0.3 | mid | 2026-09-20 |
| Silver | 47.7 | -0.3 | — | 2026-09-20 |
| Platinum | 57.7 | -0.3 | — | 2026-09-20 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | -8.7 | extended | 2026-09-20 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.