Market Cycle Brief — September 22, 2026: BTC 45/100, Ethereum Down 2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 45/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 45/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-22
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 84/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 84/170 | mid |
| Weekly | 52/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 84/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its mid phase (day 84/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 52/24).
Movers
- Ethereum: 42.1 → 40.1 (Δ -2.0)
- XRP: 42.1 → 40.1 (Δ -2.0)
- Solana: 42.1 → 40.1 (Δ -2.0)
News context
- ‘Crypto bull market is underway,’ Tom Lee says as Bitmine nears 5% Ethereum supply target with 27,562 ETH buy — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin taps $85,000 for first time since January as crypto short liquidations surge — theblock · positive
- Strive adds 1,355 bitcoin, picks up pace toward year-end second-place treasury goal — theblock · positive
- ‘A little more orange’: Strategy buys 950 bitcoin for $76 million, bringing total holdings to 846,000 BTC — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin's 44% gain in third quarter teases full-blown crypto bull run — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 45.1 | 0.0 | mid | |
| Ethereum | 40.1 | -2.0 | — | |
| XRP | 40.1 | -2.0 | — | |
| Solana | 40.1 | -2.0 | — | |
| Sui | 40.1 | -2.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 26.6 | -0.3 | late | 2026-09-21 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 37.9 | -0.6 | late | 2026-09-21 |
| Dow Jones | 26.7 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-09-21 |
| Russell 2000 | 15.7 | -0.6 | mid | 2026-09-21 |
| DAX 40 | 33.4 | -0.4 | late | 2026-09-21 |
| Nikkei 225 | 19.2 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-09-18 |
| FTSE 100 | 35.3 | -0.4 | late | 2026-09-21 |
| NVIDIA | 25.3 | -0.4 | late | 2026-09-21 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-21 |
| Gold | 47.6 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-09-21 |
| Silver | 47.6 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-21 |
| Platinum | 57.6 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-21 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-21 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.