Market Cycle Brief — September 25, 2026: BTC 41/100, FTSE 100 Down 8.9
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 41/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 41/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-25
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 87/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 87/170 | late |
| Weekly | 55/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 87/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 87/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 55/24).
Movers
- FTSE 100: 35 → 26.1 (Δ -8.9)
- NVIDIA: 25 → 16.1 (Δ -8.9)
- Dow Jones: 35.3 → 26.5 (Δ -8.8)
News context
- Solana Foundation taps Binance, Polygon vets to drive institutional adoption and payments — theblock · positive
- Solana Foundation hires Binance, Polygon veterans as it ramps up tokenized finance push — coindesk · positive
- JPMorgan says bitcoin crossing $85,000 production cost could ease miner selling pressure — theblock · positive
- Block brings Bitcoin Lightning payments to x402 for AI agents — cointelegraph · positive
- Bitcoin just topped a key long-term moving average. Here's what it might mean — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 40.8 | -0.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 35.8 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 35.8 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 35.8 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 35.8 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 35 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-24 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 42.9 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-24 |
| Dow Jones | 26.5 | -8.8 | extended | 2026-09-24 |
| Russell 2000 | 32.4 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-24 |
| DAX 40 | 32.9 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-24 |
| Nikkei 225 | 26.7 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 26.1 | -8.9 | late | 2026-09-24 |
| NVIDIA | 16.1 | -8.9 | late | 2026-09-24 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-24 |
| Gold | 45.2 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-09-24 |
| Silver | 45.2 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-24 |
| Platinum | 55.2 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-24 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-24 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.